A USA report says that in 2014, it will be virtually an electoral battle between Narendra Modi, Gujarat Chief Minister and Rahul Gandhi for the post of Prime Ministership. Rahul Gandhi is confident that he can easily trounce Modi with the help of Muslim votes, notwithstanding the corruption issues against the Congress government. But will it be that easy?
It is Modi versus Rahul
An American report has stated that the 2014 parliamentary elections in India will be a contest for the Prime Minister’s post between Narendra Modi and Rahul Gandhi. Narendra Modi is Gujarat Chief Minister and a BJP leader. Rahul Gandhi is Sonia Gandhi’s son and the heir apparent in the Congress Party. The American report states that Narendra Modi’s stock is growing every day and he is likely to win the elections and become the Prime Minister of India in 2014.
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Many plus points for Rahul
Will it happen that way? Let us analyse. Narendra Modi is in his sixties and Rahul Gandhi is in his forties. So, Rahul has youth on his side as a plus point. Rahul has the backing of all the members and leaders of the Congress Party. There are no leaders opposing Rahul Gandhi, including the present Prime Minister Manmohan Singh. This is another plus point for Rahul Gandhi. Narendra Modi has many opponents in his party BJP. There are many Prime Ministerial aspirants like Sushma Swaraj, Arun Jaitley, L K Advani, Gatkari, Yashwant Sinha and others. But slowly and steadily, consensus is emerging on Narendra Modi in BJP. Even the senior leader Lal Kishan Advani has endorsed Narendra Modi’s name for the Prime Minister’s post. Therefore, Narendra Modi will not have any serious opposition to contest for the highest post of India. Another plus point for the Congress is the support it will have from the Communist parties. The communists are of the opinion that only Congress headed by Sonia Gandhi and Rahul Gandhi can save secularism in India and protect the minorities from the Hindus’ attack. Therefore they will strain every nerve to defeat the BJP and make Rahul the Prime Minister of India. This has been stressed by Prakash Karat, Sitaram Yechuri and other communist leaders time and again.
BJP cannot lose any Muslim vote
In the electoral battlefield, Rahul and Sonia will repeatedly speak about Modi’s alleged involvement in the 2002 Gujarat riots against the Muslims. Muslims are highly opposed to Narendra Modi and consider him as their enemy number one. Therefore Rahul and Sonia will feel that Modi’s entry into the contest will make BJP to lose Muslim votes. Is it true? Not at all. BJP has at present no Muslim supporters. When it comes to the question of a fight between Congress and the BJP, Muslims all over India are always backing the Congress. When there are no Muslim supporters for the BJP, how can the BJP lose any Muslim vote? On the other hand, the entry of Modi will bring in communal polarisation and make more Hindus to vote for the BJP. This will be a gain for the BJP. Even if the vote swing is around five to ten per cent, it will significantly alter the results.